Immigration and Murder in New York: Is There a Relationship
'07.11.2019'
Source: cato.org
Studies have shown that there is no correlation between immigration and crime in the United States. Moreover, in areas where migrants live, the crime rate is lower. This is stated on the organization’s website Cato Institute.
These studies were conducted in 1994-2014 years, the source notes. A recent study of this issue has confirmed that there is no link between illegal immigration and crime.
“All these monitoring are devoted to the study of the relationship between crime and immigration in recent years and decades, which is most relevant for the formation of public policy today,” the report said.
However, the author of the publication added, he recently encountered historical data on the murders in New York since the 19th century.
“Although research conducted over a century ago has generally revealed a negative relationship between crime and immigration, historical murder data provide an interesting opportunity to see relationships over time,” he said.
On the subject: Immigrants or Americans: who more often commits crimes
So, the figure above shows a strong negative relationship between the killing rates on 100 of thousands of New Yorkers and the percentage of the population of foreign origin.
“A simple linear regression between two variables shows a negative coefficient of -0,32, which is significant at one percent. This is just a correlation, and it does not imply a causal relationship, ”the author noted.
He explained that the figure shows data from the 1850 of the year, since it was then that they began to count the number of people in the United States.
The total population of New York and its share of immigrants are derived from the US Census and the American Community Survey. Values are interpolated for missing years. The killings come from the ICPSR historical database and FBI statistics for recent years, a source commented.
“Even the most naive regression between homicide rates and the proportion of foreigners in New York, the largest center for immigrants in US history, shows a negative correlation over time,” the author concluded.
