What Winter Will Be Like in New York: We Analyze Forecasts from Three Well-Known Meteorological Groups

It's already feeling like fall outside, which means cold weather is just around the corner in the Big Apple. What to expect in New York this winter, reports Fox5.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the Old Farmer's Almanac, and the Farmer's Almanac have all released their winter forecasts.

Forecast from NOAA

The updated winter forecast from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center gives a glimpse of what Americans can expect from December through February. The upcoming scenario assumes a typical La Niña pattern.

La Niña - atmospheric and oceanic weather a phenomenon that causes cooling in the eastern Pacific Ocean.

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According to NOAA, La Niña influences are expected to dominate weather patterns from December through February. This often results in wetter conditions in the northern part of the country.

NOAA predicts a 71% chance of a La Niña event occurring between September and November. The cooling trend could continue from January to March 2025. While moderate to strong La Niña effects are less likely in the fall and winter, they are still possible.

By February-April 2025, conditions neutral to El Niño (unusually high water temperatures off the Pacific coast of South America) are expected to return.

The Northeast is likely to see more rain than usual this winter, according to NOAA.

The Old Farmer's Almanac

The Old Farmer's Almanac was founded in 1792 in New Hampshire. It claims that its centuries-old formula for predicting winter uses a combination of solar science and the study of sunspots, climatology and meteorology.

"Temperatures will rise and snowfall will cease across much of the United States this winter," wrote Carol Connar, editor-in-chief of the Old Farmer's Almanac. "We are forecasting a mild, uneventful winter, potentially a welcome relief from the extremes of recent years."

This is especially true for the inland northeast, where a “milder than normal season” is forecast that is “not as severe and harsh.”

For the Interstate 95 corridor, which includes the tri-state area, below-average snowfall is forecast in the north but above-average in the south, with the coldest temperatures in early and late January and late February.

The Farmers' Almanac

The Farmers' Almanac, founded in 1818 in Maine, warns: "Brace Yourself for a Wet Winter Blizzard!"

Their annual extended weather forecast predicts a season of fast-moving storms that will bring both rain and snow.

A very active storm track is predicting frequent heavy rainfall and strong and gusty winds over much of the eastern half of the country. However, the forecast notes that the effects of La Niña will influence what the weather will be like.

“The coldest weather of the season will occur in the last week of January - beginning of February. Arctic air will bring a sharp drop in temperatures across almost the entire country,” writes Farmers' Almanac.

Where will it snow in New York?

A storm is forecast for northeastern New York with above-normal winter precipitation and near-normal temperatures.

The heaviest snowfall will occur in inland and mountainous areas, while the coast will see sleet and rain, especially near and along the I-95 corridor.

Dates to remember

The Almanac is particularly emphasizing the last week of January due to the very active storm track across much of the eastern region of the country.

It is better to spend the week from January 20 to 27 in tropical vacation. It is during these days that a large amount of almost all types of precipitation is expected: snow, rain and sleet, which will lead to black ice and icing.