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White Valentine: Snow expected in New York on Valentine's Day

'09.02.2024'

Alina Prikhodko

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Will it snow in New York for Valentine's Day? According to Fox5NY, forecasters are tracking a winter storm system that could bring windy precipitation to New York City by February 14th.

New York's Central Park has only received 2,3 inches (5,8 cm) of snow this winter, but the area is forecast to see at least 15 more inches (38 cm). Only one or two decent storms will reach that forecast number, and forecasters say February will provide ideal conditions for winter storms to develop.

Will it snow in New York

Monday, February 12: Mostly cloudy skies. Chance of snow and rain before 10am, then a chance of rain. Chance of precipitation: 40%.

Monday night: Mostly cloudy skies. Rain likely before 4 a.m., followed by a chance of snow showers. Chance of precipitation: 70%.

Low pressure will move northeast early Tuesday and reach the Atlantic Ocean. Meanwhile, colder air will move in from Canada, dropping temperatures to or below freezing Monday night into Tuesday.

Tuesday, February 13: Partly sunny skies. Snow likely, possibly mixed with rain, mostly before 7am. Chance of precipitation: 60%.

Some areas of the Atlantic Coast could see some scattered rain Monday night, but as the storm strengthens, it will likely continually draw in colder air, allowing the rain to transition to snow, the Forecast Center said.

How much snow can fall in New York

Based on current forecast trends, the passage of cold temperatures will result in a fairly widespread spread of moderate to heavy snow from Pennsylvania to Massachusetts on Tuesday. Computer forecast models are leaning toward a more powerful storm system, which is why the Forecast Center says more snow is possible.

On the subject: What will winter be like in New York: when to expect snow and storms

Heavy snow is expected in New York. However, we are still a long way off from knowing exactly how much snow will fall, but there is a chance of moderate to heavy snowfall. The exact path of the storm and its ability to intensify will be key factors in determining how much snow falls and where.
New York has experienced several snow and rain events this season, with some temperatures rising above and below freezing creating a split between rain and snow along the coast and inland. This storm could continue that trend.

Anyone commuting or planning a trip early next week should keep a close eye on the forecast as the storm could cause chaos at some of the country's busiest airports and roads.

Should New York Expect “Early Spring”?

Last week Chuck the groundhog predicted early spring for New York, but the U.S. is experiencing a strong El Niño, meaning the Tri-State area will likely see warmer than average temperatures and wetter than average precipitation.

Going forward, a strong El Niño will continue, meaning February will see the same weather as before: above-average temperatures and borderline rain and snow conditions. Most likely, the winter will drag on into mid-February, and there will likely be a strong surge of cold weather, which could lead to a snow storm.

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